Our predictions
Preseason models, locked before tip-off and graded in June. No moving the goalposts.
2027 MVP tracker
Odds for every projected starter, from a model backtested on 42 seasons.
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2027 title odds
All 30 teams, 10,000 simulated seasons.
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Rookie of the Year
2027 odds for every rookie, 10,000 simulated seasons.
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Sixth Man of the Year
2027 odds for every bench player, 10,000 simulated seasons.
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Defensive Player of the Year
2027 DPOY odds, backtested on 42 seasons.
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Most Improved Player
2027 MIP odds for 180 players, backtested since 2008.
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Most underrated
Impact numbers vs the expert rankings.
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Most cursed careers
The CURSE model, all-time.
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No 3-point line
Every playoff game since 1980, re-scored without the three.
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Contract years
Do players play better when they're due a new deal?
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Fantasy basketball GOAT
Every NBA season since 1950, scored like your fantasy league.
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Are injuries getting worse?
37 seasons of games missed, and what's driving the rise.
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Does trash talk work?
2,259 taunts and 62 playoff series, tested against a control group.
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