Spreadsheet Sports / Predictions
Our predictions
Preseason models, locked before tip-off and graded in June. No moving the goalposts.
Live tracker
2027 MVP tracker
Odds for every projected starter, from a model backtested on 42 seasons.
30.8%favourite: Victor Wembanyama
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Live tracker
2027 title odds
All 30 teams, 10,000 simulated seasons.
42.8%favourite: Oklahoma City Thunder
Open
Live tracker
Rookie of the Year
2027 odds for every rookie, 10,000 simulated seasons.
Open
Live tracker
Sixth Man of the Year
2027 odds for every bench player, 10,000 simulated seasons.
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Model
Most underrated
Impact numbers vs the expert rankings.
Open
Model
Most cursed careers
The CURSE model, all-time.
Open
Model
No 3-point line
Every playoff game since 1980, re-scored without the three.
Open
Model
Contract years
Do players play better when they're due a new deal?
Open