Spreadsheet Sports Hockey / Players / Jacob Markstrom

Jacob Markstrom

Florida PanthersGoalieage 366′6″, 207 lbcatches leftdrafted 2008, #31 overall

WorkloadWorkhorse Tandem2025-26

Scouting summaryNo standout area yet; best is workload (58); shot stopping is the weak spot (12).

2025-26 · regular seasonNJD

2026-27 so far: 6 GP · 3 W · .897 SV%

44GP

23W

.883SV%

3.07GAA

1SO

43GS

1,113SA

−16.6GSAx

Season

At a glance · 2025-26 · 44 GP · 2,544 min · NJD

Category scores

0–99 percentile vs every qualified goalie. Tap a row to see the numbers behind it.

Shot stopping12Weak Danger saves22Below avg Workload58Average

Shot stopping

Goals saved compared with what our expected-goals model says an average goalie allows on the same shots

12Weak

MetricValuePercentile

Goals saved above expectedGSAx

−16.6

Save % vs expecteddSV%

−1.49

GSAx per 60GSAx/60

−0.39

Save %SV%not graded

.883

Goalie numbers swing a lot from one season to the next (year-to-year r of about 0.1 to 0.2 for every goalie stat, ours or the plain save %). Read these scores as one season's form, not a forecast.

How our expected goals work

Shot stopping leaders

Danger saves

Save percentage on low-, medium- and high-danger shots (danger = our xG)

22Below avg

MetricValuePercentile

High-danger save %HD SV%raw .771 on 109 shots

.768

Medium-danger save %MD SV%raw .832 on 487 shots

.833

Low-danger save %LD SV%raw .956 on 517 shots

.956

Danger tiers come from our expected-goals model: low under 5%, medium 5–15%, high 15%+ chance to score.

Danger saves leaders

Workload

How much he plays and how hard the shots are

58Average

MetricValuePercentile

Games playedGP

Games startedGS

MinutesMIN

2,544

Shot difficulty facedxGA/60style

2.67

Shots faced per 60SA/60style

26.2

Workload leaders

Similar goalies · 2025-26

Plays like

Closest matches on the category scores plus style (shot difficulty and volume faced), same season, same position group.

86% matchJordan BinningtonSTL · G · Workhorse Tandem 86% matchLinus UllmarkOTT · G · Workhorse Tandem 84% matchDarcy KuemperLAK · G · Starter 84% matchArturs SilovsPIT · G · Workhorse Tandem 78% matchSergei BobrovskyFLA · G · Starter

At a glance · 2024-25 · 49 GP · 2,903 min · NJD

Category scores

0–99 percentile vs every qualified goalie. Tap a row to see the numbers behind it.

Shot stopping43Average Danger saves35Below avg Workload62Average

Shot stopping

Goals saved compared with what our expected-goals model says an average goalie allows on the same shots

43Average

MetricValuePercentile

Goals saved above expectedGSAx

−1.1

Save % vs expecteddSV%

−0.09

GSAx per 60GSAx/60

−0.02

Save %SV%not graded

.900

Goalie numbers swing a lot from one season to the next (year-to-year r of about 0.1 to 0.2 for every goalie stat, ours or the plain save %). Read these scores as one season's form, not a forecast.

How our expected goals work

Shot stopping leaders

Danger saves

Save percentage on low-, medium- and high-danger shots (danger = our xG)

35Below avg

MetricValuePercentile

High-danger save %HD SV%raw .721 on 122 shots

.727

Medium-danger save %MD SV%raw .868 on 479 shots

.868

Low-danger save %LD SV%raw .961 on 612 shots

.961

Danger tiers come from our expected-goals model: low under 5%, medium 5–15%, high 15%+ chance to score.

Danger saves leaders

Workload

How much he plays and how hard the shots are

62Average

MetricValuePercentile

Games playedGP

Games startedGS

MinutesMIN

2,903

Shot difficulty facedxGA/60style

2.48

Shots faced per 60SA/60style

25.1

Workload leaders

Similar goalies · 2024-25

Plays like

Closest matches on the category scores plus style (shot difficulty and volume faced), same season, same position group.

88% matchPyotr KochetkovCAR · G · Workhorse Tandem 84% matchKevin LankinenVAN · G · Workhorse Tandem 84% matchCharlie LindgrenWSH · G · Workhorse Tandem 81% matchAdin HillVGK · G · Starter 79% matchJordan BinningtonSTL · G · Starter

How every number is calculated

Percentiles (0–100) rank him against every goalie with 1,200+ minutes that season (61 in 2025-26). Tiers: Elite 90+ · Strong 70–89 · Average 40–69 · Below avg 20–39 · Weak 0–19. Roles are simple rules applied in order; the first one that fits wins. Expected goals and RAPM, explained and backtested

Shot stopping: Goals saved compared with what our expected-goals model says an average goalie allows on the same shots. Category score = weighted average of the graded metrics' percentiles in that category, re-ranked 0-99 against every qualified skater (or every skater in his position group when 'vs position' is on). Style numbers (weight 0) are shown but not graded.
GSAxGoals saved above expected: Expected goals faced minus goals allowed, season total. +10 is excellent. How: Sum of our xG on every unblocked, non-empty-net shot he faced − goals allowed on them.
dSV%Save % vs expected: Save percentage minus the save percentage an average goalie would post on his shots, in percentage points. How: GSAx ÷ shots on goal faced × 100.
GSAx/60GSAx per 60: Goals saved above expected per 60 minutes. How: GSAx ÷ time on ice × 60.
SV%Save %: Plain save percentage. Shown, not graded: it ignores how hard the shots were. How: Saves ÷ shots on goal (NHL). Shown, not graded.
Danger saves: Save percentage on low-, medium- and high-danger shots (danger = our xG). Category score = weighted average of the graded metrics' percentiles in that category, re-ranked 0-99 against every qualified skater (or every skater in his position group when 'vs position' is on). Style numbers (weight 0) are shown but not graded.
HD SV%High-danger save %: Save % on shots our model rates 15%+ to score, volume-adjusted. How: (HD saves + 40 × league HD SV%) ÷ (HD shots + 40). Raw in the note.
MD SV%Medium-danger save %: Save % on shots rated 5–15% to score, volume-adjusted. How: Same adjustment, 40 league-average shots added.
LD SV%Low-danger save %: Save % on shots rated under 5% to score, volume-adjusted. How: Same adjustment, 40 league-average shots added.
Workload: How much he plays and how hard the shots are. Category score = weighted average of the graded metrics' percentiles in that category, re-ranked 0-99 against every qualified skater (or every skater in his position group when 'vs position' is on). Style numbers (weight 0) are shown but not graded.
GPGames played: Games he appeared in. How: NHL games played.
GSGames started: Games he started. How: NHL games started.
MINMinutes: Minutes played. How: NHL time on ice.
xGA/60Shot difficulty faced: Expected goals he faced per 60 minutes: how dangerous the shots were. A style number, not graded. How: Our xG on unblocked shots faced ÷ time on ice × 60. Style number, not graded.
SA/60Shots faced per 60: Shots on goal faced per 60 minutes. A style number. How: NHL shots against ÷ time on ice × 60. Style number, not graded.
Goalie roles: Starter Started 50+ games.
Workhorse Tandem Started 35–49 games.
1B / Backup Started fewer than 35 games.

Model verdicts

Panthers Cup odds4.3% · #8 of 32

Season by season · regular season

Jacob Markstrom's stats

Season	Team	GP	GS	W	L	OTL	SV%	GAA	SO	SA	GSAx
2026-27 so far	FLA	6	6	3	1	1	.897	2.21	1	117	—
2025-26	NJD	44	43	23	19	1	.883	3.07	1	1,113	−16.6
2024-25	NJD	49	49	26	16	6	.900	2.50	4	1,214	−1.1

Hover, focus or tap a column name to see what it means. Traded players: combined line. SH% and FO% shown as 12.5 = 12.5%.

What do these stats mean?

GP: Games played
GS: Games started
W: Wins
L: Regulation losses
OTL: Overtime and shootout losses
SV%: Save percentage: saves ÷ shots on goal
GAA: Goals against per 60 minutes
SO: Shutouts
SA: Shots against
GSAx: Goals saved above expected (Spreadsheet Sports xG): expected goals faced minus goals allowed. Graded seasons only.

Box score via the NHL's public stats. GSAx from Spreadsheet Sports expected goals.

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