Spreadsheet Sports / 2027 title odds / Team
Miami Heat
In 10,000 simulated 2026-27 seasons, the Miami Heat lift the trophy 1.4% of the time, 12th of 30. Below: why, then the 2026-27 roster with last season's stats.
Miami Heat · East
Last season 43-39 (net +2.2). Regular-season rating +1.9 (12th), playoff rating +4.7 (12th). Win the East: 6.1%.
| Player | Impact (BPM) | Min |
|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | +5.6 | 40 |
| Bam Adebayo | +0.9 | 38 |
| Andrew Wiggins | -0.7 | 36 |
| Dru Smith | +0.1 | 32 |
| Pelle Larsson | -1.4 | 30 |
| Davion Mitchell | -1.7 | 24 |
| Bobby Portis | -1.5 | 22 |
| Bez Mbeng | -2.3 | 18 |
2026-27 roster · 21 players
Miami Heat roster
Sorted by minutes per game last season, so the rotation is on top. Click a column to sort; click a player for his full profile.
| Bez Mbengwith UTA | G | 23 | 15 | 32.8 | 8.1 | 3.8 | 4.1 | 55.0 | −4.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo | C-F | 29 | 73 | 32.4 | 20.1 | 10.0 | 3.2 | 55.1 | +2.0 |
| Andrew Wiggins | F-G | 31 | 68 | 30.3 | 15.4 | 4.8 | 2.7 | 58.6 | +1.2 |
| Giannis Antetokounmpowith MIL | F-G | 31 | 36 | 28.9 | 27.6 | 9.8 | 5.4 | 65.8 | +9.5 |
| Davion Mitchell | G | 28 | 70 | 28.6 | 9.3 | 2.7 | 6.5 | 58.2 | −0.9 |
| Tim Hardaway Jr.with DEN | G | 34 | 80 | 26.6 | 13.5 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 62.4 | −0.7 |
| Pelle Larsson | G | 25 | 70 | 26.4 | 11.4 | 3.5 | 3.4 | 60.5 | −1.2 |
| Bobby Portiswith MIL | F-C | 31 | 67 | 24.2 | 13.7 | 6.4 | 1.6 | 58.7 | 0.0 |
| Klay Thompsonwith DAL | G-F | 36 | 69 | 21.7 | 11.7 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 54.1 | −1.4 |
| Nikola Jović | G-F | 23 | 47 | 17.2 | 7.3 | 3.3 | 2.2 | 48.0 | −3.5 |
| Simone Fontecchio | F | 30 | 70 | 16.8 | 8.5 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 57.9 | +0.5 |
| Dru Smith | G | 28 | 70 | 16.3 | 5.6 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 53.2 | +2.2 |
| Nick Richardswith PHO/CHI | F-C | 28 | 48 | 14.6 | 5.8 | 5.1 | 0.3 | 56.2 | −6.1 |
| Myron Gardner | G | 25 | 45 | 9.1 | 3.6 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 60.6 | +0.9 |
| Keshad Johnsontwo-way | F | 25 | 32 | 8.8 | 4.3 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 58.2 | −1.3 |
| Jahmir Young | G | 26 | 14 | 4.1 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 48.3 | −6.7 |
| Vladislav Goldintwo-way | F-C | 25 | 9 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 78.8 | −0.5 |
Rookies & no 2025-26 NBA stats · 4
- Gabe MadsenG · age 25 · Rookie
- Ryan ConwellG · age 22 · Rookie
- Tre DonaldsonG · age 22 · Rookie · two-way
- Kylor KelleyF · age 29 · Didn't play in 2025-26 · last played 2024-25
What do these stats mean?
- Player
- Click a name for his full profile: per-game and advanced stats, percentiles and awards.
- PosPosition
- Listed position: G = guard, F = forward, C = center.
- Age
- Age today (as of the roster date).
- GGames
- Games played in the regular season. A full season is 82. Players need 65 to qualify for MVP and All-NBA.
- MINMinutes per game
- Average minutes on the court per game. 30+ is a heavy starter's load. Under 20 is a bench role.
- PTSPoints per game
- Points scored per game. 20+ is a top scorer: 47 of 379 rotation players got there in 2025-26.
- REBRebounds per game
- Offensive plus defensive rebounds per game. 10+ is elite: only 13 rotation players averaged it in 2025-26.
- ASTAssists per game
- Passes that lead directly to a made basket, per game. 7+ is lead-playmaker territory: 14 players in 2025-26.
- TS%True shooting percentage
- Scoring efficiency that counts 3s as worth more and includes free throws. League average was 58.2% in 2025-26. 62%+ is excellent, under 54% is inefficient.
- BPMBox plus/minus
- Points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player, estimated from the box score. 0 = average, −2 ≈ replacement level, +4.3 = the typical 2025-26 All-Star, +8 = MVP level.
Stats via Basketball-Reference (2025-26 regular season; traded players show their combined line and a muted “with” tag) · roster as of Oct 19, 2026 (Basketball-Reference team page, includes two-way contracts).
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